The author also gave the uncertainty of the prediction values in this paper according to bayes theorem . the method can be used to correct the original error model conveniently and effectively 該方法的優(yōu)點是在利用預報過程中插入的標準量時,無須對所有數(shù)據(jù)重新建模就能方便而有效地實現(xiàn)對原有誤差模型的修正。
In factual world , the uncertainty is very rich . in expert system , usually probability is defined as subjective credit degree of experts to evidence and regulation , and bayes theorem is key solution in probability reasoning 在專家系統(tǒng)中,概率一般解釋為專家對證據(jù)和規(guī)則的主觀信任度,在概率推理中起著支撐作用的是貝葉斯定理。